Sunday, November 05, 2006
48 Hrs.
Ok, so nobody cares about the national races (or maybe it's just the weekend, and you guys have social lives). Fair enough, back to the local stuff. In this article, the consensus seems to support my position on the three runoffs. Interestingly, Doug McKillip says he "knows he's in the lead", even after the endorsement ad gaffe. Take the Democrat vote for granted much? I'm not so sure personally; I've been hearing a lot of Democrat support for Quick, and less than hearty support for McKillip among Democrats (and that was before the endorsement situation). I think it's even possible to have a runoff that doesn't include McKillip. What do you guys think?
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I don't think McKillip makes the runoff. I think it's Culpepper/Quick in the runoff. McKillip's half-ass apology is just too little too late. Quick is garnering support across the board. I almost think she could take it without a runoff. Maybe not possible, but we'll see. If she does win, she's going to have to work like hell to impress us if she wants to keep the seat. The democratic party will not doubt present a better democratic candidate next time around (one would hope) to run against her.
Lest we forget, Jane beat Cowsert in 2004 56% to 44%. Assuming that Quick takes all that 44% (which is a HUGE assumption, I know) that leaves EH and Doug vying for the remaining 55%.
I'm sure McKillip thinks that "he's in the lead" becasue a) Atlanta told him to say that; and b) becasue he's counting on every Democratic vote out there.
'04 was a pretty good indicator. With two moderates on the ticket, the Democratic candidate only takes 55% of the vote.
SO.. there's going to be a runoff. At this point, McKillip's got to be worried about even making it in. And to be fair, he may have had a harder shot at making the runoff from the day EH announced. I know the propaganda is that EH is the "real" republican in the race, but there are some prominent "real" democrats supporting him.
Bottom line. If McKillip thinks that 55% is his for the taking, he needs to slow that $50,000 convertible down as he drives through five points. I see EH sharing yard space with a lot of Heidi davison signs and Jane kidd signs.
Prediction: E.H. 40%, Quick 31%, McKillip 29%......
I just do not see strong McKillip support from the Democrats...by the way, is there verifiable information that McKillip has one of his children at Athens Academy? If so, that really upsets me with his stand on education. I believe that you need to have your children in the public system if you are in politics and a Democrat!!! So, who knows the reality of the truth in that blog?
I'm curious about the Athens Academy thing too. I KNOW he has his business in Oconee County but if his kids are in private school in Oconee, well, that is just another reason that he's lost my vote.
Anonymous, could you be a Democrat and homeschool your kids?
Damn, voting early was a mistake. Over the weekend I've learned of the Athens Academy thing, his pompous predictions, false endorsements and the Cedar Creek rental issue.
I couldn't vote for EH. I've met EH. A career politician if I've ever seen one. He's a nice enough guy, but the Multi Modal is a joke. I spent a few hours down there-- what a ghost town. Go visit if you haven't, it's a pretty nice place that would be better served as a job placement center, an arts/Athens history center for kids, or a soup kitchen or something other than an eight million dollar rest stop for one or two buses.
At least I focused closer on other races. Bad voter- wait and research.
Yeah, sure you could be a Democrat and home school your children....but if you are a candidate for public office and can hold the purse strings for appropriations and oversight of the publc educational system (and have made that a plank of your campaign), then if you do not have your children in public education, that is like saying, look at me, I tout education and more money for education, but I do not want my children to use that public education product. It just seems hypocritical to me. I expect more of a democratic candidate than the elitist way... Just my thoughts....
Well, let me be a bit hyperbolic:
Does that also mean that all public officials should live in public housing?
I understand your point, and I strongly sympathize with it, but it seems unproblematized this assumption, one shared with conservatives, that public/private maps onto a division of sacrifice/privilege. I think the subtlety of such language plays right into social conservative rhetoric, and suddenly people start to thinking that school vouchers is the way to go. Heck, some of them might think it smart to start asking why more public officials don't live in public housing...
why don't more public officials live in public housing? that's a damn good question early on election day.
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